--As per World Economic Outlook (by IMF) World GDP is showing a Decline in Growth.
--Worlds GDP =9 Trillion--Indias GDP= 2.9 Trillion--So Indias GDP is about 3.33 % of World.--Indias export to GDP= 19.7% of GDP.
- --World GDP affects india more then otherwise.
--World GDP trend = 3.8%(2017) --à
3.6%(2018) -à 2.9%(2019)
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--GDP= C+ I + G + (X-M)
>> C=House-hold Consumption=our purchase +unregistered firms etc
>> I=Investment by Private= does not include investment on share or jwalary = only financial assests which keeps money ciculating.
>> G =Gov expenditure
>> X-M= Export - Import
>> C=House-hold Consumption=our purchase +unregistered firms etc
>> I=Investment by Private= does not include investment on share or jwalary = only financial assests which keeps money ciculating.
>> G =Gov expenditure
>> X-M= Export - Import
--above table 3 shows......decrease in Investment
>>Export + Import both decreased but === [X-M] increased hence good.
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>>Export + Import both decreased but === [X-M] increased hence good.
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--CPI = increased and diverged from WPI.....Why?
>>Bcoz of Food inflation....as Core inflation adhares WPI
>>Deflator decreased to 2.1% thus showing supply side problem of Food.
>>Bcoz of Food inflation....as Core inflation adhares WPI
>>Deflator decreased to 2.1% thus showing supply side problem of Food.
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--PLFS(Periodic Labor Force Survey) had licked data of 45 year low unemployment.
--Unemployment data cannot be compaired......bcoz change in calculation.
--Above fig 11 shows......increase of formal workforce
--Unemployment data cannot be compaired......bcoz change in calculation.
--Above fig 11 shows......increase of formal workforce
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--Fig 14...all major non food bank credit growth declined...........Bank credit mainly chananlised in G-sec and Personal loan(includes Agri).
--Fig 15 shows .....mainly Public Banks are showing risk aversion.
--Risk aversion= not willing to lend to companies fearing NPA
>>GOI to solve it .Merged many bank...to increase their capacity to take risk.
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--Risk aversion= not willing to lend to companies fearing NPA
>>GOI to solve it .Merged many bank...to increase their capacity to take risk.
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